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Orphan Block Risk and Solo Mining Payout Expectations

Understand orphan block risk, confirmation uncertainty, and payout expectation planning in solo mining.

Written for Bitcoin (SHA-256) solo miners pointing Antminer, Whatsminer, Bitaxe and NerdMiner devices at mysolopool.com.

Execution Sequence

  1. Model expected payout timelines with orphan and reorg risk in mind.
  2. Document what happens operationally after a found block and during confirmation windows.
  3. Set realistic payout expectations for stakeholders before each campaign.
  4. Review historical outcomes quarterly to refine risk assumptions.

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